This dataset contains model estimates of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) yield (mg C/m^2) and runoff (mm), for surface and subsurface flows, soil temperature (oC), and soil moisture (% of soil volume) for grid cells spanning the Elson Lagoon watershed in northwest Alaska. Daily air temperature, precipitation, and wind speed data from Utqiagvik airport were used for meteorological forcings for the daily simulation by the Permafrost Water Balance Model (PWBM) from 1981 to 2020. The DOC and runoff data files are organized by grid cell and month. The soil temperature and soil moisture files are organized by grid cell and day of year (DOY). The estimates are most useful for analyses of the dynamics of the watershed’s surface and subsurface runoff and DOC yield. Leachate DOC concentrations can be obtained using the gridded runoff and yield values. A manuscript describing the data and associated analysis has been accepted for publication in Environmental Research Letters (Rawlins et al., 2021).